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World's largest olive oil company says market has entered new pha

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World’s Largest Olive Oil Company Says Market Has ‘Definitively’ Entered New Phase

The olive oil market has long been plagued by unpredictability and volatility. However, after years of wild price swings and drought-induced devastation, Deoleo, the world’s largest olive oil company, is breathing a sigh of relief with its declaration that a new era of stability has begun.

Deoleo CEO Cristóbal Valdés asserts that “the highly complex market cycle experienced between 2022 and 2024 is now definitively behind us.” Favorable rainfall trends in major producing nations, such as Spain, have led to a solid global yield for the upcoming harvest. This consolidation of a more robust supply is a welcome respite from the turmoil that characterized the previous three-year period.

Deoleo’s own experience bears out Valdés’ assessment. The company previously described the 2022-2024 window as one of the most challenging periods in the sector’s history, with severe droughts and heat decimating olive oil harvests across southern Europe. Prices skyrocketed to record highs, sending shockwaves through the industry and consumer markets.

But times have changed. Olive oil prices have moderated, and American consumers are increasingly adopting this staple of Mediterranean cuisine into their daily routines. This uptick in demand is not limited to high-end users; Deoleo reports that the number of olive oil purchasing households in the US has consistently increased across all income brackets.

Deoleo credits favorable rainfall trends and a solid global supply as key factors behind its newfound stability. The company also points to packaging redesigns, particularly squeeze formats like Bertolli’s “Dress and Drizz” bottle, which have driven 40% of the entire category’s growth in the US. Valdés’ emphasis on consumer-focused innovation is telling.

In an era where food trends are dictated by younger consumers with a keen eye for sustainability and convenience, it’s no surprise that packaging redesigns have become a key driver of market growth. Deoleo’s approach offers a glimmer of hope for an industry that has long struggled with volatility.

However, concerns about the long-term implications of climate change, water scarcity, and pest and disease pressures on global olive oil supplies remain. Analysts continue to warn of dramatic price swings from one season to the next. Will Deoleo’s newfound stability be enough to withstand these challenges?

Reader Views

  • EK
    Editor K. Wells · editor

    While Deoleo's assertion of a new era in stability may be music to investors' ears, let's not overlook the elephant in the room: sustainability. The company's success is largely tied to packaging innovations and favorable rainfall trends, but what about the long-term environmental implications? Will this newfound profitability encourage Deoleo to invest more in sustainable production practices or continue relying on short-term fixes like redesigned bottles?

  • AD
    Analyst D. Park · policy analyst

    The olive oil market's supposed new era of stability raises questions about sustainability and supply chain resilience. While favorable rainfall trends and redesigned packaging may contribute to Deoleo's newfound optimism, they don't address the industry's underlying vulnerability to climate change. With global temperatures continuing to rise, droughts will remain a recurring threat. The company would do well to focus on investing in climate-resilient production methods rather than relying on short-term fixes like more efficient packaging.

  • RJ
    Reporter J. Avery · staff reporter

    While Deoleo's optimism is welcome, it's worth noting that supply stability in one year doesn't necessarily translate to long-term sustainability. The olive oil market's vulnerability to climate-related shocks and trends in global demand remains a significant concern. For instance, droughts can quickly offset gains from favorable rainfall years, and fluctuations in trade policies can impact the flow of raw materials. Companies like Deoleo must continue to adapt and invest in resilience strategies if they're truly looking to usher in a new era of stability for their industry.

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